Date: 2011-10-26 08:09 pm (UTC)
sanguinity: woodcut by M.C. Escher, "Snakes" (Default)
From: [personal profile] sanguinity
I have the impression that we're talking a decent chunk more than five years out: humanoid robot cleaners, highly functional robot military police, cars that drive themselves have become default in the U.S. But not so far out that other stuff, such as cell phones, are not still recognizably themselves. However, after toying with trying to estimate the dates, I put that issue aside, especially since I don't believe we're much good at saying what will and won't be possible, practical, or ubiquitous beyond ten years out or so. (And then once the war is on, all bets are off, in terms of technological predictions.) Myself, I was more interested in the speculation about what would be effective strategy and counter-strategy, given certain kinds of tech, access, and infrastructure, rather than what year we'd be seeing all of these kinds of tech happening at the same time.

So, no, you're probably not going to get a satisfactory answer to your question.

You think cell phones will be going away by the time we have self-driving cars and multi-purpose robot cleaners?
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